SmartBettors

Premier League

Chelsea

01

Full time

Aston Villa

Sunday, September 24, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.86

Implied 52.9%

Draw

4.05

Implied 23.9%

Away win

4.17

Implied 23.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHChelsea vs Aston Villa
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Chelsea: 1.86 (implied 0.529661)
Draw: 4.05 (implied 0.239177)
Aston Villa: 4.18 (implied 0.231589)

TEAM STRENGTH

Chelsea: league table unavailable
Aston Villa: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Chelsea last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W W L D (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W L W (oldest → newest)
Chelsea avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Chelsea avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Chelsea form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Aston Villa form quality: low (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Chelsea over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Chelsea BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Chelsea clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Chelsea home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Aston Villa away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Chelsea home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Aston Villa away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Chelsea home BTTS rate: 60%
Aston Villa away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.600
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 40%
Chelsea W-D-L vs Aston Villa: 3-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available