SmartBettors

Premier League

Chelsea

02

Full time

Aston Villa

Saturday, April 1, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.71

Implied 57.6%

Draw

3.81

Implied 25.4%

Away win

5.60

Implied 17.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.02

Implied 48.2%

Under 2.5

1.88

Implied 51.8%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHChelsea vs Aston Villa
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.03 (implied 0.479846)
Under 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.520562)
Full-time result:
Chelsea: 1.72 (implied 0.572410)
Draw: 3.79 (implied 0.255297)
Aston Villa: 5.55 (implied 0.172712)

TEAM STRENGTH

Chelsea: league table unavailable
Aston Villa: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Chelsea last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W W D (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W D W (oldest → newest)
Chelsea avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Chelsea avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Chelsea form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Aston Villa form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Chelsea over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Chelsea BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Chelsea clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Chelsea home form: 2W-2D-1L · 0.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Aston Villa away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Chelsea home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Aston Villa away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Chelsea home BTTS rate: 20%
Aston Villa away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.750
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Chelsea W-D-L vs Aston Villa: 3-1-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available