SmartBettors

Premier League

Burnley

13

Full time

Aston Villa

Sunday, August 27, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.26

Implied 29.9%

Draw

3.66

Implied 26.6%

Away win

2.26

Implied 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.07

Implied 47.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBurnley vs Aston Villa
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.470588)
Full-time result:
Burnley: 3.25 (implied 0.299940)
Draw: 3.66 (implied 0.265604)
Aston Villa: 2.26 (implied 0.434783)

TEAM STRENGTH

Burnley: league table unavailable
Aston Villa: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Burnley last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W W L (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W D W L W (oldest → newest)
Burnley avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Burnley avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Burnley form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Aston Villa form quality: low (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Burnley over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burnley BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Burnley clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Burnley home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Aston Villa away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Burnley home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Aston Villa away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Burnley home BTTS rate: 20%
Aston Villa away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 100%
Burnley W-D-L vs Aston Villa: 0-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available