SmartBettors

Serie A

Roma

40

Full time

Fiorentina

Monday, May 4, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Roma2
Draws2
Fiorentina2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.56

Implied 63.2%

Draw

4.20

Implied 22.8%

Away win

6.75

Implied 14.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.88

Implied 52.2%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.9%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHRoma vs Fiorentina
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.87 (implied 0.524109)
Under 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.476190)
Full-time result:
Roma: 1.54 (implied 0.639386)
Draw: 4.24 (implied 0.222519)
Fiorentina: 6.71 (implied 0.138026)

TEAM STRENGTH

Roma: 1/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Roma last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W L W D W (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W W D D (oldest → newest)
Roma avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Roma avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Roma form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Roma over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Roma BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Roma clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Roma home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Fiorentina away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Roma home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Roma home BTTS rate: 40%
Fiorentina away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.875
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 63%
Roma W-D-L vs Fiorentina: 3-2-3

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -1 → -1 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)