SmartBettors

Serie A

Lecce

11

Full time

Fiorentina

Monday, April 20, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Lecce2
Draws1
Fiorentina3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.80

Implied 25.4%

Draw

3.33

Implied 29.1%

Away win

2.15

Implied 45.6%

Captured …

Predictions history

Loading predictions…

Match briefing
MATCHLecce vs Fiorentina
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Lecce: 3.74 (implied 0.258465)
Draw: 3.34 (implied 0.290276)
Fiorentina: 2.17 (implied 0.451671)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lecce: 19/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Lecce last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend W L L L L (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W D W W (oldest → newest)
Lecce avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Lecce avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Lecce form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lecce over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Lecce BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lecce clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 5
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Lecce home form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Fiorentina away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Lecce home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Lecce home BTTS rate: 40%
Fiorentina away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.857
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 43%
Lecce W-D-L vs Fiorentina: 2-2-3

MOTIVATION

Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch
Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → 0.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 2/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.083)