SmartBettors

Serie A

Fiorentina

10

Full time

Lecce

Friday, February 28, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.79

Implied 54.8%

Draw

3.56

Implied 27.0%

Away win

5.21

Implied 18.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 46.8%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFiorentina vs Lecce
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.467508)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.533049)
Full-time result:
Fiorentina: 1.82 (implied 0.540249)
Draw: 3.53 (implied 0.273149)
Lecce: 5.10 (implied 0.187056)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Lecce: 19/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Fiorentina last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)
Lecce last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L W D D L (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Lecce avg goals scored last 10: 0.70
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Lecce avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lecce form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Lecce over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Lecce BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3
Lecce clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

Fiorentina home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Lecce away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Fiorentina home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lecce away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina home BTTS rate: 40%
Lecce away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.600
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 60%
Fiorentina W-D-L vs Lecce: 2-2-1

MOTIVATION

Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch
Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available