SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

41

Full time

Fortuna Sittard

Friday, December 15, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.96

Implied 50.0%

Draw

3.67

Implied 26.2%

Away win

4.04

Implied 23.8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.94

Implied 50.0%

Under 2.5

1.94

Implied 50.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.97 (implied 0.493097)
Under 2.5: 1.92 (implied 0.507357)
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 2.01 (implied 0.488043)
Draw: 3.61 (implied 0.267380)
Fortuna Sittard: 3.93 (implied 0.245038)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Fortuna Sittard: 15/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D D L W W (oldest → newest)
Fortuna Sittard last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W L W W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Fortuna Sittard avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Fortuna Sittard avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fortuna Sittard form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Fortuna Sittard BTTS rate last 10: 30%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0
Fortuna Sittard clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 0W-3D-2L · 1.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Fortuna Sittard away form: 0W-0D-5L · 0.2 GF / 3.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 20%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fortuna Sittard away over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 100%
Fortuna Sittard away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 75%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Fortuna Sittard: 1-2-1

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Fortuna Sittard: relegation danger (close to drop)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available