SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

34

Full time

Excelsior

Sunday, August 13, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.60

Implied 61.4%

Draw

4.44

Implied 21.4%

Away win

5.50

Implied 17.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 1.55 (implied 0.636943)
Draw: 4.61 (implied 0.205719)
Excelsior: 5.98 (implied 0.157159)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L L L D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L D W L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
NEC Nijmegen form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 30%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.4 GF / 3.2 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Excelsior away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.4 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 40%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 80%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Excelsior: 1-1-0

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available