SmartBettors

Premier League

Aston Villa

30

Full time

Newcastle United

Saturday, April 15, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.92

Implied 24.8%

Draw

3.51

Implied 27.7%

Away win

2.07

Implied 47.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.02

Implied 48.3%

Under 2.5

1.89

Implied 51.7%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAston Villa vs Newcastle United
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.489476)
Under 2.5: 1.91 (implied 0.510986)
Full-time result:
Aston Villa: 3.84 (implied 0.253165)
Draw: 3.53 (implied 0.275938)
Newcastle United: 2.09 (implied 0.471254)

TEAM STRENGTH

Aston Villa: league table unavailable
Newcastle United: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Aston Villa last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend D W W W W (oldest → newest)
Newcastle United last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Newcastle United avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Newcastle United avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Aston Villa form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Newcastle United form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Newcastle United over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Newcastle United BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Newcastle United clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Aston Villa home form: 3W-0D-2L · 2.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Newcastle United away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Aston Villa home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Newcastle United away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Aston Villa home BTTS rate: 40%
Newcastle United away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 0%
Aston Villa W-D-L vs Newcastle United: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available