SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

40

Full time

Fortuna Sittard

Sunday, April 9, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.12

Implied 88.6%

Draw

11.33

Implied 7.3%

Away win

19.55

Implied 4.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Fortuna Sittard
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.12 (implied 0.882613)
Draw: 11.42 (implied 0.072812)
Fortuna Sittard: 18.04 (implied 0.044522)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Fortuna Sittard: 15/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W L D (oldest → newest)
Fortuna Sittard last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L W L L W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.60
Fortuna Sittard avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Fortuna Sittard avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fortuna Sittard form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Fortuna Sittard BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1
Fortuna Sittard clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Fortuna Sittard away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fortuna Sittard away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
Fortuna Sittard away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 5.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 33%
Ajax W-D-L vs Fortuna Sittard: 3-0-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Fortuna Sittard: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available