SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

22

Full time

Excelsior

Wednesday, April 24, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.28

Implied 76.9%

Draw

6.50

Implied 13.6%

Away win

9.13

Implied 9.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.28 (implied 0.769823)
Draw: 6.52 (implied 0.135740)
Excelsior: 9.19 (implied 0.094180)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W D L W (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend D L L L W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 2.60
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 2W-3D-0L · 1.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Excelsior away form: 0W-0D-5L · 1.0 GF / 3.6 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 60%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 80%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 5.667
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Ajax W-D-L vs Excelsior: 2-1-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available