SmartBettors

Zorya Luhansk

00

Full time

Polissya Zhytomyr

Monday, May 18, 2026 -
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 27 · Home -0.05 · Away +0.09

Zorya Luhansk (+0.75)Polissya Zhytomyr (-0.75)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.28

Implied 23.36%

Draw

4.04

Implied 24.75%

Away win

1.71

Implied 58.48%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.93

Implied 51.81%

Under 2.5

1.90

Implied 52.63%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHZorya Luhansk vs Polissya Zhytomyr
LEAGUEUkraine · Premier League · 2025/2026 · run-in · matchday 29/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.90 (implied 52.63%)
Under 2.5: 1.90 (implied 52.63%)
Full-time result:
Zorya Luhansk: 5.15 (implied 19.42%)
Draw: 3.74 (implied 26.74%)
Polissya Zhytomyr: 1.62 (implied 61.73%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Zorya Luhansk: 8/16 · 43 pts · GD +5 · 29 pts off leader
Polissya Zhytomyr: 3/16 · 56 pts · GD +28 · 16 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Zorya Luhansk last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W D W (oldest → newest)
Polissya Zhytomyr last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W W L (oldest → newest)
Zorya Luhansk avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Polissya Zhytomyr avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Zorya Luhansk avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Polissya Zhytomyr avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Zorya Luhansk form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Polissya Zhytomyr form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Zorya Luhansk over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Polissya Zhytomyr over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Zorya Luhansk BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Polissya Zhytomyr BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Zorya Luhansk clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Polissya Zhytomyr clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Zorya Luhansk home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Polissya Zhytomyr away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.8 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Zorya Luhansk home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Polissya Zhytomyr away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Zorya Luhansk home BTTS rate: 40%
Polissya Zhytomyr away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.600
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 40%
Zorya Luhansk W-D-L vs Polissya Zhytomyr: 0-2-3

MOTIVATION

Polissya Zhytomyr: defending UECL qualification (score 0.606)
Zorya Luhansk: chasing playoff spot
Polissya Zhytomyr: defending UECL spot (+2 pts cushion)
Polissya Zhytomyr: chasing playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 1 → 0.75 (Δ -0.25, toward Zorya Luhansk)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_home — late sharp money toward Zorya Luhansk
Line activity: 1 change · 27/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 1 → 0.75 (toward Zorya Luhansk)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: run-in
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)