SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Willem II

12

Full time

Ajax

Sunday, April 13, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

9.12

Implied 9.8%

Draw

5.49

Implied 16.6%

Away win

1.34

Implied 73.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHWillem II vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Willem II: 8.96 (implied 0.099612)
Draw: 5.48 (implied 0.167084)
Ajax: 1.34 (implied 0.733138)

TEAM STRENGTH

Willem II: 7/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Willem II last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W D W W (oldest → newest)
Willem II avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
Willem II avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.40
Willem II form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Willem II over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Willem II BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Willem II clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 5
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 7 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Willem II home form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.8 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Ajax away form: 5W-0D-0L · 1.6 GF / 0.0 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Willem II home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Willem II home BTTS rate: 60%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 0%
Willem II W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-0-3

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Willem II: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available