SmartBettors

Liga Portugal

Vitória Guimarães

vs

Kickoff

…

Nacional

Sunday, August 23, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Vitória Guimarães2
Draws1
Nacional1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

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Match briefing
MATCHVitória Guimarães vs Nacional
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.92 (implied 52.08%)
Under 2.5: 1.92 (implied 52.08%)
Full-time result:
Vitória Guimarães: 1.69 (implied 59.17%)
Draw: 3.94 (implied 25.38%)
Nacional: 4.80 (implied 20.83%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Vitória Guimarães: 16/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · 6 pts off leader · zone: relegation playoff
Nacional: 5/18 · 4 pts · GD +0 · 2 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Vitória Guimarães last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
Nacional last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W D W (oldest → newest)
Vitória Guimarães avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Nacional avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Vitória Guimarães avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Nacional avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Vitória Guimarães form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Nacional form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Vitória Guimarães over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Nacional over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Vitória Guimarães BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Nacional BTTS rate last 10: 20%
Vitória Guimarães clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Nacional clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Vitória Guimarães home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Nacional away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Vitória Guimarães home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Nacional away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Vitória Guimarães home BTTS rate: 20%
Nacional away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Vitória Guimarães W-D-L vs Nacional: 2-1-1

MOTIVATION

Nacional: chasing UCL qualification (score 0.606)
Vitória Guimarães: currently in the relegation zone
Vitória Guimarães: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)
Vitória Guimarães: chasing UEL qualification (6 pts to line)
Vitória Guimarães: chasing UECL qualification (4 pts to line)
Vitória Guimarães: defending playoff spot
Nacional: chasing the title (2 pts to top)
Nacional: relegation danger (close to drop)
Nacional: chasing UCL qualification (2 pts to line)
Nacional: chasing UEL qualification (2 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 5/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.208)