SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Värnamo

23

Full time

Hammarby

Sunday, July 27, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

5.59

Implied 16.4%

Draw

4.30

Implied 21.6%

Away win

1.57

Implied 62.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.83

Implied 52.9%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHVärnamo vs Hammarby
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.529381)
Under 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.470810)
Full-time result:
Värnamo: 4.82 (implied 0.192345)
Draw: 4.23 (implied 0.220556)
Hammarby: 1.66 (implied 0.587199)

TEAM STRENGTH

Värnamo: league table unavailable
Hammarby: 4/16 · 17 pts · GD +11 · 11 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Värnamo last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L W L (oldest → newest)
Hammarby last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W W W L W (oldest → newest)
Värnamo avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Hammarby avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Värnamo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Hammarby avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Värnamo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Hammarby form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Värnamo over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Hammarby over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Värnamo BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Hammarby BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Värnamo clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4
Hammarby clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Värnamo home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Hammarby away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Värnamo home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Hammarby away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Värnamo home BTTS rate: 60%
Hammarby away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.857
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 29%
Värnamo W-D-L vs Hammarby: 4-1-2

MOTIVATION

Hammarby: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Hammarby: chasing UECL qualification (1 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available