SmartBettors

1. HNL

Varaždin

11

Full time

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Saturday, May 9, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Varaždin2
Draws2
Lokomotiva Zagreb2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.92

Implied 50.5%

Draw

3.62

Implied 25.8%

Away win

3.93

Implied 23.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.82

Implied 52.9%

Under 2.5

2.03

Implied 47.1%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHVaraždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
LEAGUECroatia · 1. HNL · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.525486)
Under 2.5: 2.01 (implied 0.474383)
Full-time result:
Varaždin: 2.08 (implied 0.463392)
Draw: 3.53 (implied 0.265887)
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 3.47 (implied 0.270709)

TEAM STRENGTH

Varaždin: league table unavailable
Lokomotiva Zagreb: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Varaždin last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W W L L (oldest → newest)
Lokomotiva Zagreb last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W D L (oldest → newest)
Varaždin avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Lokomotiva Zagreb avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Varaždin avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Lokomotiva Zagreb avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Varaždin form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Lokomotiva Zagreb form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Varaždin over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Lokomotiva Zagreb BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Varaždin home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Lokomotiva Zagreb away form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Varaždin home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Lokomotiva Zagreb away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Varaždin home BTTS rate: 60%
Lokomotiva Zagreb away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 50%
Varaždin W-D-L vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: 3-2-3

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 2 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.25 (toward Lokomotiva Zagreb)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)