SmartBettors

1. HNL

Varaždin

vs

Kickoff

…

Istra 1961

Saturday, May 23, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Varaždin0
Draws3
Istra 19613
Active predictions
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Match briefing
MATCHVaraždin vs Istra 1961
LEAGUECroatia · 1. HNL · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 35/18
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.87 (implied 53.48%)
Under 2.5: 1.90 (implied 52.63%)
Full-time result:
Varaždin: 2.33 (implied 42.92%)
Draw: 2.82 (implied 35.46%)
Istra 1961: 3.49 (implied 28.65%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Varaždin: 3/10 · 51 pts · GD -1 · 34 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual
Istra 1961: 5/10 · 43 pts · GD -9 · 42 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Varaždin last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L L D W (oldest → newest)
Istra 1961 last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W W D (oldest → newest)
Varaždin avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Istra 1961 avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Varaždin avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Istra 1961 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Varaždin form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Istra 1961 form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Varaždin over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Istra 1961 over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Istra 1961 BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Istra 1961 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Varaždin home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Istra 1961 away form: 2W-0D-3L · 0.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Varaždin home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Istra 1961 away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Varaždin home BTTS rate: 60%
Istra 1961 away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.375
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
Varaždin W-D-L vs Istra 1961: 1-3-4

MOTIVATION

Varaždin: defending UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Varaždin: defending UECL spot (+1 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → -0.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 8/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.333)