SmartBettors

1. HNL

Varaždin

20

Full time

Istra 1961

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.03

Implied 49.26%

Draw

3.45

Implied 28.99%

Away win

3.30

Implied 30.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.76

Implied 56.82%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 49.75%

Captured

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHVaraždin vs Istra 1961
LEAGUECroatia · 1. HNL · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.68 (implied 59.52%)
Under 2.5: 2.08 (implied 48.08%)
Full-time result:
Varaždin: 2.39 (implied 41.84%)
Draw: 3.57 (implied 28.01%)
Istra 1961: 2.85 (implied 35.09%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Varaždin: league table unavailable
Istra 1961: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Varaždin last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L L D W (oldest → newest)
Istra 1961 last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W W D (oldest → newest)
Varaždin avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Istra 1961 avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Varaždin avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Istra 1961 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Varaždin form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Istra 1961 form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Varaždin over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Istra 1961 over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Istra 1961 BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Varaždin clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Istra 1961 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Varaždin home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Istra 1961 away form: 2W-0D-3L · 0.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Varaždin home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Istra 1961 away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Varaždin home BTTS rate: 60%
Istra 1961 away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.375
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
Varaždin W-D-L vs Istra 1961: 1-3-4

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → -0.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 4 changes · 36/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → -0.5 (toward Varaždin)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.500)