SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Vålerenga

32

Full time

Sarpsborg 08

Saturday, May 16, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.90

Implied 51.5%

Draw

4.16

Implied 22.9%

Away win

3.73

Implied 25.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.51

Implied 66.23%

Under 2.5

2.62

Implied 38.17%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHVålerenga vs Sarpsborg 08
LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 12/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Vålerenga: 1.80 (implied 0.544070)
Draw: 4.22 (implied 0.225124)
Sarpsborg 08: 4.12 (implied 0.230787)

TEAM STRENGTH

Vålerenga: 10/16 · 14 pts · GD -8 · 14 pts off leader
Sarpsborg 08: 7/16 · 14 pts · GD -3 · 14 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Vålerenga last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L L D L (oldest → newest)
Sarpsborg 08 last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend D L L L W (oldest → newest)
Vålerenga avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Vålerenga avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Vålerenga form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Sarpsborg 08 form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Vålerenga over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Sarpsborg 08 over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Vålerenga BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Sarpsborg 08 BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Vålerenga clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Sarpsborg 08 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Vålerenga home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Sarpsborg 08 away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Vålerenga home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Sarpsborg 08 away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Vålerenga home BTTS rate: 40%
Sarpsborg 08 away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Vålerenga W-D-L vs Sarpsborg 08: 2-2-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.75 (Δ -0.25, toward Vålerenga)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Vålerenga
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.75 (toward Vålerenga)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)