SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

12

Full time

Montpellier

Sunday, January 26, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.71

Implied 57.3%

Draw

3.90

Implied 24.5%

Away win

5.22

Implied 18.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.93

Implied 50.7%

Under 2.5

1.98

Implied 49.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Montpellier
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.470588)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 1.70 (implied 0.577034)
Draw: 3.97 (implied 0.241138)
Montpellier: 5.22 (implied 0.181818)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Montpellier: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W W L D (oldest → newest)
Montpellier last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L L W (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Montpellier avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Montpellier avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Montpellier form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Montpellier over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 20%
Montpellier BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 3
Montpellier clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Montpellier away form: 0W-0D-5L · 0.4 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Montpellier away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 60%
Montpellier away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.600
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 60%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Montpellier: 3-0-2

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available