SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

22

Full time

Monaco

Saturday, April 25, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.70

Implied 20.2%

Draw

4.19

Implied 22.7%

Away win

1.72

Implied 57.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Monaco
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 4.70 (implied 0.201776)
Draw: 4.16 (implied 0.228938)
Monaco: 1.72 (implied 0.569152)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Monaco: 15/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)
Monaco last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W L D (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Monaco avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Monaco avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Monaco form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Monaco over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Monaco BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4
Monaco clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Monaco away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Monaco away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 20%
Monaco away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.286
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 57%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Monaco: 2-1-4

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Monaco: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.5 → 0.75 (Δ 0.25, toward Monaco)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Monaco
Line activity: 1 change · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.5 → 0.75 (toward Monaco)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)