SmartBettors

Tondela

20

Full time

Moreirense

Monday, May 11, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.99

Implied 48.9%

Draw

3.39

Implied 28.1%

Away win

4.11

Implied 23.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 46.5%

Under 2.5

1.81

Implied 53.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHTondela vs Moreirense
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.465116)
Under 2.5: 1.81 (implied 0.534759)
Full-time result:
Tondela: 1.92 (implied 0.508130)
Draw: 3.53 (implied 0.269251)
Moreirense: 4.24 (implied 0.222519)

TEAM STRENGTH

Tondela: league table unavailable
Moreirense: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Tondela last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L L D W (oldest → newest)
Moreirense last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L D W L W (oldest → newest)
Tondela avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Moreirense avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Tondela avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Moreirense avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Tondela form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Moreirense form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Tondela over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Moreirense over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Tondela BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Moreirense BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Tondela clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5
Moreirense clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Tondela home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Moreirense away form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Tondela home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Moreirense away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Tondela home BTTS rate: 40%
Moreirense away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Tondela W-D-L vs Moreirense: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)