SmartBettors

Championship

Stoke City

31

Full time

Derby County

Saturday, August 9, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Stoke City1
Draws1
Derby County2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.13

Implied 45.8%

Draw

3.21

Implied 30.0%

Away win

3.96

Implied 24.2%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHStoke City vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Stoke City: 2.14 (implied 0.455996)
Draw: 3.23 (implied 0.298063)
Derby County: 3.89 (implied 0.246002)

TEAM STRENGTH

Stoke City: league table unavailable
Derby County: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Stoke City last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W W L L D (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L W W D (oldest → newest)
Stoke City avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Stoke City avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Stoke City form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: low (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Stoke City over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Stoke City BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Stoke City clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Stoke City home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Derby County away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Stoke City home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Stoke City home BTTS rate: 40%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Stoke City W-D-L vs Derby County: 1-1-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available