SmartBettors

Bundesliga

St. Pauli

12

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

Sunday, May 3, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.95

Implied 32.9%

Draw

3.29

Implied 29.5%

Away win

2.59

Implied 37.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.09

Implied 46.5%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSt. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.09 (implied 0.465116)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.535045)
Full-time result:
St. Pauli: 2.83 (implied 0.344471)
Draw: 3.33 (implied 0.291630)
FSV Mainz 05: 2.68 (implied 0.364299)

TEAM STRENGTH

St. Pauli: league table unavailable
FSV Mainz 05: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

St. Pauli last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L D L D L (oldest → newest)
FSV Mainz 05 last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W W L D L (oldest → newest)
St. Pauli avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
St. Pauli avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
St. Pauli form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
FSV Mainz 05 form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

St. Pauli over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
FSV Mainz 05 over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
St. Pauli BTTS rate last 10: 40%
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate last 10: 70%
St. Pauli clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

St. Pauli home form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
FSV Mainz 05 away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
St. Pauli home over 2.5 rate: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 away over 2.5 rate: 40%
St. Pauli home BTTS rate: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.667
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 0%
St. Pauli W-D-L vs FSV Mainz 05: 0-1-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)