SmartBettors

Bundesliga

St. Pauli

12

Full time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Saturday, September 27, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.15

Implied 30.9%

Draw

3.46

Implied 28.0%

Away win

2.38

Implied 41.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.88

Implied 52.2%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.9%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSt. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.92 (implied 0.509944)
Under 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.490436)
Full-time result:
St. Pauli: 3.09 (implied 0.314762)
Draw: 3.45 (implied 0.281215)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 2.42 (implied 0.404367)

TEAM STRENGTH

St. Pauli: league table unavailable
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

St. Pauli last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L D W W L (oldest → newest)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D L D W D (oldest → newest)
St. Pauli avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
St. Pauli avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
St. Pauli form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form quality: low (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

St. Pauli over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
St. Pauli BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen BTTS rate last 10: 80%
St. Pauli clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

St. Pauli home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away form: 1W-4D-0L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
St. Pauli home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away over 2.5 rate: 60%
St. Pauli home BTTS rate: 60%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 100%
St. Pauli W-D-L vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 0-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available