SmartBettors

Premiership

St. Mirren

03

Full time

Kilmarnock

Saturday, May 9, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.06

Implied 47.4%

Draw

3.56

Implied 26.9%

Away win

3.73

Implied 25.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.05

Implied 47.4%

Under 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSt. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
LEAGUEScotland · Premiership · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/22
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.02 (implied 0.479846)
Under 2.5: 1.87 (implied 0.520562)
Full-time result:
St. Mirren: 2.09 (implied 0.467071)
Draw: 3.45 (implied 0.278319)
Kilmarnock: 3.76 (implied 0.254647)

TEAM STRENGTH

St. Mirren: 10/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Kilmarnock: 4/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

St. Mirren last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)
Kilmarnock last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L D L W (oldest → newest)
St. Mirren avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
Kilmarnock avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
St. Mirren avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Kilmarnock avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
St. Mirren form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Kilmarnock form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

St. Mirren over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Kilmarnock over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
St. Mirren BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Kilmarnock BTTS rate last 10: 50%
St. Mirren clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 6
Kilmarnock clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

St. Mirren home form: 2W-0D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 0%
Kilmarnock away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.6 GF / 3.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
St. Mirren home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Kilmarnock away over 2.5 rate: 60%
St. Mirren home BTTS rate: 0%
Kilmarnock away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.625
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
St. Mirren W-D-L vs Kilmarnock: 1-2-5

MOTIVATION

Kilmarnock: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Kilmarnock: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 2 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.25 (toward Kilmarnock)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)