SmartBettors

Championship

Southampton

11

Full time

Middlesbrough

Tuesday, May 12, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.57

Implied 38.91%

Draw

3.45

Implied 28.99%

Away win

2.82

Implied 35.46%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSouthampton vs Middlesbrough
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF

ODDS

No odds available for this bookmaker

TEAM STRENGTH

Southampton: league table unavailable
Middlesbrough: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Southampton last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D L D W D (oldest → newest)
Middlesbrough last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W W D D (oldest → newest)
Southampton avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Middlesbrough avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Southampton avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Middlesbrough avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Southampton form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Middlesbrough form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Southampton over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Middlesbrough over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Southampton BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Middlesbrough BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Southampton clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Middlesbrough clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Southampton home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Middlesbrough away form: 1W-4D-0L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Southampton home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Middlesbrough away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Southampton home BTTS rate: 80%
Middlesbrough away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.200
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 60%
Southampton W-D-L vs Middlesbrough: 0-3-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off fixture — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — knockout tie with a promotion berth on the line

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 2 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0 → -0.25 (toward Southampton)

SIGNALS

Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)