SmartBettors

Premier League

Southampton

01

Full time

Aston Villa

Saturday, January 21, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.79

Implied 35.1%

Draw

3.27

Implied 29.9%

Away win

2.80

Implied 35.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.08

Implied 46.8%

Under 2.5

1.84

Implied 53.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSouthampton vs Aston Villa
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.08 (implied 0.468384)
Under 2.5: 1.84 (implied 0.531915)
Full-time result:
Southampton: 2.79 (implied 0.351370)
Draw: 3.27 (implied 0.298864)
Aston Villa: 2.80 (implied 0.350018)

TEAM STRENGTH

Southampton: league table unavailable
Aston Villa: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Southampton last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W D L W (oldest → newest)
Southampton avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Southampton avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Southampton form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Aston Villa form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Southampton over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Southampton BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Southampton clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Southampton home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Aston Villa away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Southampton home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Aston Villa away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Southampton home BTTS rate: 60%
Aston Villa away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 0%
Southampton W-D-L vs Aston Villa: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available