SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

31

Full time

Lillestrøm

Sunday, September 17, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.88

Implied 52.3%

Draw

4.24

Implied 22.6%

Away win

3.83

Implied 25.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSarpsborg 08 vs Lillestrøm
LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 11/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Sarpsborg 08: 1.84 (implied 0.533618)
Draw: 4.29 (implied 0.223015)
Lillestrøm: 3.94 (implied 0.243487)

TEAM STRENGTH

Sarpsborg 08: 7/16 · 14 pts · GD -3 · 13 pts off leader
Lillestrøm: 4/16 · 19 pts · GD +6 · 8 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Sarpsborg 08 last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L L W W L (oldest → newest)
Lillestrøm last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L L W D (oldest → newest)
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Lillestrøm avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals conceded last 10: 2.30
Lillestrøm avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Sarpsborg 08 form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lillestrøm form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Sarpsborg 08 over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Lillestrøm over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Sarpsborg 08 BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Lillestrøm BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Sarpsborg 08 clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Lillestrøm clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Sarpsborg 08 home form: 3W-0D-2L · 3.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Lillestrøm away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Sarpsborg 08 home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Lillestrøm away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Sarpsborg 08 home BTTS rate: 80%
Lillestrøm away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Sarpsborg 08 W-D-L vs Lillestrøm: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

Lillestrøm: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Sarpsborg 08: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)
Lillestrøm: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)
Lillestrøm: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available