SmartBettors

Santa Clara

20

Full time

Nacional

Monday, May 11, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.45

Implied 39.6%

Draw

3.28

Implied 29.2%

Away win

3.08

Implied 31.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.95

Implied 49.4%

Under 2.5

1.91

Implied 50.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSanta Clara vs Nacional
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.465333)
Under 2.5: 1.80 (implied 0.534474)
Full-time result:
Santa Clara: 2.73 (implied 0.353357)
Draw: 2.98 (implied 0.322789)
Nacional: 2.97 (implied 0.323834)

TEAM STRENGTH

Santa Clara: league table unavailable
Nacional: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Santa Clara last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L L D W D (oldest → newest)
Nacional last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L W W L (oldest → newest)
Santa Clara avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Nacional avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Santa Clara avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Nacional avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Santa Clara form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Nacional form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Santa Clara over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Nacional over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Santa Clara BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Nacional BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Santa Clara clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2
Nacional clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Santa Clara home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Nacional away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Santa Clara home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Nacional away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Santa Clara home BTTS rate: 40%
Nacional away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Santa Clara W-D-L vs Nacional: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Nacional)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Nacional
Line activity: 1 change · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Nacional)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)