SmartBettors

Salzburg

11

Full time

Sturm Graz

Sunday, May 3, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.66

Implied 59.0%

Draw

4.04

Implied 23.4%

Away win

5.33

Implied 17.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHSalzburg vs Sturm Graz
LEAGUEAustria · Admiral Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Salzburg: 1.63 (implied 0.603500)
Draw: 4.19 (implied 0.225378)
Sturm Graz: 5.46 (implied 0.171116)

TEAM STRENGTH

Salzburg: league table unavailable
Sturm Graz: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Salzburg last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L W W L (oldest → newest)
Sturm Graz last 5: 1W-4D-0L · trend W D D D D (oldest → newest)
Salzburg avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Sturm Graz avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Salzburg avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Sturm Graz avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Salzburg form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Sturm Graz form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Salzburg over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Sturm Graz over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Salzburg BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Sturm Graz BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Salzburg clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4
Sturm Graz clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Salzburg home form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Sturm Graz away form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Salzburg home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Sturm Graz away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Salzburg home BTTS rate: 40%
Sturm Graz away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.500
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 75%
Salzburg W-D-L vs Sturm Graz: 1-3-4

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -1 (Δ -0.25, toward Salzburg)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Salzburg
Line activity: 1 change · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -1 (toward Salzburg)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)