SmartBettors

1. HNL

Rijeka

vs

Kickoff

Gorica

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHRijeka vs Gorica
LEAGUECroatia · 1. HNL · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 35/18
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.91 (implied 52.36%)
Under 2.5: 1.86 (implied 53.76%)
Full-time result:
Rijeka: 1.70 (implied 58.82%)
Draw: 3.64 (implied 27.47%)
Gorica: 4.64 (implied 21.55%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Rijeka: 4/10 · 50 pts · GD +11 · 35 pts off leader
Gorica: 7/10 · 41 pts · GD -6 · 44 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Rijeka last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L D W W D (oldest → newest)
Gorica last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W L L W (oldest → newest)
Rijeka avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Gorica avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Rijeka avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Gorica avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Rijeka form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Gorica form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Rijeka over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Gorica over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Rijeka BTTS rate last 10: 10%
Gorica BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Rijeka clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 6
Gorica clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Rijeka home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 0%
Gorica away form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Rijeka home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Gorica away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Rijeka home BTTS rate: 0%
Gorica away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.125
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 25%
Rijeka W-D-L vs Gorica: 6-1-1

MOTIVATION

Rijeka: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Rijeka: chasing UECL qualification (1 pts to line)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 8/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.333)