Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal | SmartBettors

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Full time

Villarreal

Sunday, May 17, 2026 - …Estadio de Vallecas

Team form

Rayo Vallecano

WDWDD

L5 Goals (F/A)

8 / 5

League position

—

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

—

Form quality

50%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Spain | La Liga

Villarreal

DWWDL

L5 Goals (F/A)

11 / 7

League position

—

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

—

Form quality

55%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Spain | La Liga

Head to head

Last 6 matches

Rayo Vallecano1

Draws2

Villarreal3

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market

Selection

Scanning

Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.03

Implied 48.3%

Draw

3.61

Implied 26.8%

Away win

3.87

Implied 24.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.74

Implied 57.47%

Under 2.5

2.19

Implied 45.66%

Captured …

Match briefing

MATCHRayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2026/2027 · unknown

KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …

Over/Under 2.5:

Over 2.5: 1.75 (implied 57.14%)

Under 2.5: 2.17 (implied 46.08%)

Full-time result:

Rayo Vallecano: 2.07 (implied 0.473934)

Draw: 3.64 (implied 0.265463)

Villarreal: 3.70 (implied 0.261028)

TEAM STRENGTH

Rayo Vallecano: league table unavailable

Villarreal: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Rayo Vallecano last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W D W D D (oldest → newest)

Villarreal last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W W D L (oldest → newest)

Rayo Vallecano avg goals scored last 10: 1.10

Villarreal avg goals scored last 10: 1.90

Rayo Vallecano avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10

Villarreal avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20

Rayo Vallecano form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

Villarreal form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%

Villarreal over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%

Rayo Vallecano BTTS rate last 10: 50%

Villarreal BTTS rate last 10: 90%

Rayo Vallecano clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

Villarreal clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Rayo Vallecano home form: 2W-3D-0L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%

Villarreal away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 80%

Rayo Vallecano home over 2.5 rate: 20%

Villarreal away over 2.5 rate: 20%

Rayo Vallecano home BTTS rate: 60%

Villarreal away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)

Avg goals per match: 2.750

Over 2.5 rate: 50%

BTTS rate: 50%

Rayo Vallecano W-D-L vs Villarreal: 2-2-4

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → -0.5 (Δ -0.25, toward Rayo Vallecano)

AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Rayo Vallecano

Line activity: 1 change · 24/24 snapshot hours

Largest single move: -0.25 → -0.5 (toward Rayo Vallecano)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no

Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes

Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes

Play-off fixture: no

Top vs bottom mismatch: no

Both in European spots: no

Relegation six-pointer: no

Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown

Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)

Form coverage: home full · away full

H2H coverage: full

Standings available: no

Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)