SmartBettors

Ekstraklasa

Pogoń Szczecin

vs

Kickoff

Katowice

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHPogoń Szczecin vs Katowice
LEAGUEPoland · Ekstraklasa · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 33/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.55 (implied 64.52%)
Under 2.5: 2.38 (implied 42.02%)
Full-time result:
Pogoń Szczecin: 2.72 (implied 36.76%)
Draw: 3.65 (implied 27.4%)
Katowice: 2.35 (implied 42.55%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Pogoń Szczecin: 10/18 · 44 pts · GD -2 · 15 pts off leader
Katowice: 5/18 · 49 pts · GD +6 · 10 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Pogoń Szczecin last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L D W L W (oldest → newest)
Katowice last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W D W D D (oldest → newest)
Pogoń Szczecin avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Katowice avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Pogoń Szczecin avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Katowice avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Pogoń Szczecin form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Katowice form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Pogoń Szczecin over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Katowice over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Pogoń Szczecin BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Katowice BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Pogoń Szczecin clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Katowice clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Pogoń Szczecin home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Katowice away form: 0W-3D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Pogoń Szczecin home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Katowice away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Pogoń Szczecin home BTTS rate: 40%
Katowice away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 33%
Pogoń Szczecin W-D-L vs Katowice: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

Katowice: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.533)
Katowice: chasing UCL qualification (4 pts to line)
Katowice: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Katowice)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Katowice
Line activity: 3 changes · 9/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Katowice)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.375)