SmartBettors

Serie B

Palermo

20

Full time

Catanzaro

Wednesday, May 20, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Palermo2
Draws1
Catanzaro3
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 27 · Home -0.12 · Away +0.17

Palermo (-0.75)Catanzaro (+0.75)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.67

Implied 59.88%

Draw

4.23

Implied 23.64%

Away win

4.97

Implied 20.12%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.71

Implied 58.48%

Under 2.5

2.23

Implied 44.84%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHPalermo vs Catanzaro
LEAGUEItaly · Serie B · 2025/2026 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.71 (implied 58.48%)
Under 2.5: 2.23 (implied 44.84%)
Full-time result:
Palermo: 1.67 (implied 59.88%)
Draw: 4.23 (implied 23.64%)
Catanzaro: 4.97 (implied 20.12%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Palermo: 4/20 · 72 pts · GD +28 · 10 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Catanzaro: 5/20 · 59 pts · GD +11 · 23 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Palermo last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W D W L L (oldest → newest)
Catanzaro last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L L W W (oldest → newest)
Palermo avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Catanzaro avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Palermo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Catanzaro avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Palermo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Catanzaro form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Palermo over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Catanzaro over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Palermo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Catanzaro BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Palermo clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3
Catanzaro clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Palermo home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Catanzaro away form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Palermo home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Catanzaro away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Palermo home BTTS rate: 60%
Catanzaro away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 71%
BTTS rate: 71%
Palermo W-D-L vs Catanzaro: 2-1-4

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off knockout — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — both sides qualified from the regular-season bracket; winner advances in the promotion path
Palermo: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 4/20)
Catanzaro: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 5/20)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 2 changes · 27/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward Catanzaro)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)