SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Nice

11

Full time

Lens

Saturday, May 2, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

5.11

Implied 18.5%

Draw

4.32

Implied 22.0%

Away win

1.65

Implied 59.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNice vs Lens
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Nice: 4.63 (implied 0.205086)
Draw: 4.13 (implied 0.230840)
Lens: 1.74 (implied 0.564016)

TEAM STRENGTH

Nice: 6/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Lens: 4/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl qual

RECENT FORM

Nice last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend L L D D D (oldest → newest)
Lens last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W L W D (oldest → newest)
Nice avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Lens avg goals scored last 10: 2.60
Nice avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Lens avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Nice form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lens form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Nice over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Lens over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Nice BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Lens BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Nice clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5
Lens clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Nice home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.8 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Lens away form: 1W-2D-2L · 2.0 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Nice home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lens away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Nice home BTTS rate: 40%
Lens away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.750
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 13%
Nice W-D-L vs Lens: 4-2-2

MOTIVATION

Nice: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Nice: relegation danger (close to drop)
Nice: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: relegation danger (close to drop)
Lens: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.75 → 0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)