SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

11

Full time

Willem II

Saturday, May 3, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.60

Implied 61.4%

Draw

4.32

Implied 21.8%

Away win

5.54

Implied 16.8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.80

Implied 53.2%

Under 2.5

2.03

Implied 46.8%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Willem II
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.80 (implied 0.532198)
Under 2.5: 2.03 (implied 0.467727)
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 1.56 (implied 0.628931)
Draw: 4.43 (implied 0.212224)
Willem II: 5.85 (implied 0.158881)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Willem II: 7/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W D L W L (oldest → newest)
Willem II last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Willem II avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Willem II avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Willem II form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Willem II over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Willem II BTTS rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4
Willem II clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 1W-3D-1L · 2.4 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
Willem II away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Willem II away over 2.5 rate: 40%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 100%
Willem II away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Willem II: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Willem II: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available