SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

41

Full time

Fortuna Sittard

Sunday, January 19, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.71

Implied 57.3%

Draw

4.05

Implied 23.4%

Away win

4.88

Implied 19.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.88

Implied 51.7%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.01 (implied 0.483325)
Under 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.517063)
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 1.75 (implied 0.560852)
Draw: 3.89 (implied 0.244200)
Fortuna Sittard: 4.83 (implied 0.195046)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Fortuna Sittard: 15/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L L D L W (oldest → newest)
Fortuna Sittard last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D D W W L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Fortuna Sittard avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Fortuna Sittard avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fortuna Sittard form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Fortuna Sittard BTTS rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2
Fortuna Sittard clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 2W-1D-2L · 2.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Fortuna Sittard away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Fortuna Sittard away over 2.5 rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 60%
Fortuna Sittard away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.714
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 71%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Fortuna Sittard: 3-3-1

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Fortuna Sittard: relegation danger (close to drop)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available