SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

50

Full time

Excelsior

Saturday, August 9, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

NEC Nijmegen2
Draws1
Excelsior1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.65

Implied 59.5%

Draw

4.36

Implied 21.6%

Away win

4.97

Implied 18.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 51.9%

Under 2.5

1.99

Implied 48.1%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.518672)
Under 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.481232)
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 1.71 (implied 0.571755)
Draw: 4.35 (implied 0.217628)
Excelsior: 4.49 (implied 0.210571)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W W W D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W D L W L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 2.10
NEC Nijmegen form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 30%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Excelsior away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.6 GF / 3.0 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 40%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 100%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 80%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.750
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 50%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Excelsior: 2-1-1

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available