SmartBettors

Liga Portugal

Nacional

20

Full time

Vitória Guimarães

Saturday, May 16, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Nacional0
Draws1
Vitória Guimarães2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.19

Implied 44.3%

Draw

3.44

Implied 27.7%

Away win

3.42

Implied 27.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 54.05%

Under 2.5

2.03

Implied 49.26%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHNacional vs Vitória Guimarães
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Nacional: 2.06 (implied 0.472367)
Draw: 3.40 (implied 0.280820)
Vitória Guimarães: 3.85 (implied 0.246853)

TEAM STRENGTH

Nacional: league table unavailable
Vitória Guimarães: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Nacional last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L W W L L (oldest → newest)
Vitória Guimarães last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D W W L L (oldest → newest)
Nacional avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Vitória Guimarães avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Nacional avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Vitória Guimarães avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Nacional form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Vitória Guimarães form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Nacional over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Vitória Guimarães over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Nacional BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Vitória Guimarães BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Nacional clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Vitória Guimarães clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Nacional home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Vitória Guimarães away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.6 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Nacional home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Vitória Guimarães away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Nacional home BTTS rate: 40%
Vitória Guimarães away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Nacional W-D-L vs Vitória Guimarães: 0-1-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.25 (Δ 0.25, toward Vitória Guimarães)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Vitória Guimarães
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.25 (toward Vitória Guimarães)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)