SmartBettors

Nacional

00

Full time

Casa Pia

Sunday, February 8, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.83

Implied 53.6%

Draw

3.66

Implied 26.1%

Away win

4.64

Implied 20.4%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.93

Implied 50.5%

Under 2.5

1.96

Implied 49.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNacional vs Casa Pia
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.00 (implied 0.485673)
Under 2.5: 1.89 (implied 0.514668)
Full-time result:
Nacional: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Draw: 3.55 (implied 0.269179)
Casa Pia: 4.70 (implied 0.201248)

TEAM STRENGTH

Nacional: league table unavailable
Casa Pia: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Nacional last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L W L (oldest → newest)
Casa Pia last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L L D W (oldest → newest)
Nacional avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Casa Pia avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Nacional avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Casa Pia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Nacional form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Casa Pia form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Nacional over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Casa Pia over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Nacional BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Casa Pia BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Nacional clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
Casa Pia clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Nacional home form: 2W-1D-2L · 2.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Casa Pia away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Nacional home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Casa Pia away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Nacional home BTTS rate: 60%
Casa Pia away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Nacional W-D-L vs Casa Pia: 2-0-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available