SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NAC Breda

02

Full time

Ajax

Saturday, April 25, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.31

Implied 29.0%

Draw

3.77

Implied 25.4%

Away win

2.14

Implied 45.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNAC Breda vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
NAC Breda: 3.68 (implied 0.260417)
Draw: 3.78 (implied 0.253293)
Ajax: 2.01 (implied 0.486381)

TEAM STRENGTH

NAC Breda: league table unavailable
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

NAC Breda last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D L L D D (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W L W (oldest → newest)
NAC Breda avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
NAC Breda avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
NAC Breda form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NAC Breda over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NAC Breda BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
NAC Breda clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

NAC Breda home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Ajax away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
NAC Breda home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 40%
NAC Breda home BTTS rate: 40%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
NAC Breda W-D-L vs Ajax: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → 0.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Ajax)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Ajax
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.25 → 0.5 (toward Ajax)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)