SmartBettors

Serie B

Monza

21

Full time

Juve Stabia

Tuesday, May 19, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Monza1
Draws2
Juve Stabia0
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 27 · Home +0.30 · Away -0.35

Monza (-0.5)Juve Stabia (+0.5)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.96

Implied 51.02%

Draw

3.23

Implied 30.96%

Away win

4.63

Implied 21.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.21

Implied 45.25%

Under 2.5

1.71

Implied 58.48%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMonza vs Juve Stabia
LEAGUEItaly · Serie B · 2025/2026 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.31 (implied 43.29%)
Under 2.5: 1.65 (implied 60.61%)
Full-time result:
Monza: 1.93 (implied 51.81%)
Draw: 3.23 (implied 30.96%)
Juve Stabia: 4.83 (implied 20.7%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Monza: 3/20 · 76 pts · GD +29 · 6 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Juve Stabia: 7/20 · 51 pts · GD -1 · 31 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Monza last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W L D D (oldest → newest)
Juve Stabia last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D L D W D (oldest → newest)
Monza avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Juve Stabia avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Monza avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Juve Stabia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Monza form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Juve Stabia form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Monza over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Juve Stabia over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Monza BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Juve Stabia BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Monza clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
Juve Stabia clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Monza home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Juve Stabia away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 80%
Monza home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Juve Stabia away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Monza home BTTS rate: 40%
Juve Stabia away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.667
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Monza W-D-L vs Juve Stabia: 1-2-0

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off knockout — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — both sides qualified from the regular-season bracket; winner advances in the promotion path
Monza: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 3/20)
Juve Stabia: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 7/20)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Juve Stabia)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Juve Stabia
Line activity: 5 changes · 27/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward Juve Stabia)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)