Molde vs Tromsø | SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Molde

Full time

Tromsø

Sunday, August 16, 2026 - …Aker Stadion

Team form

Molde

DLWDL

L5 Goals (F/A)

11 / 11

League position

4 / 16

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

1.88 / 1.53

Form quality

41%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Norway | Eliteserien

Tromsø

DDWWW

L5 Goals (F/A)

15 / 4

League position

3 / 16

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

2.00 / 1.18

Form quality

56%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Norway | Eliteserien

Head to head

Last 6 matches

Molde3

Draws0

Tromsø3

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market

Selection

Scanning

Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.05

Implied 48.78%

Draw

4.05

Implied 24.69%

Away win

3.35

Implied 29.85%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.51

Implied 66.23%

Under 2.5

2.63

Implied 38.02%

Captured …

Match briefing

MATCHMolde vs Tromsø

LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 17/30

KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …

Over/Under 2.5:

Over 2.5: 1.62 (implied 61.73%)

Under 2.5: 2.38 (implied 42.02%)

Full-time result:

Molde: 2.04 (implied 49.02%)

Draw: 3.97 (implied 25.19%)

Tromsø: 3.42 (implied 29.24%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Molde: 4/16 · 27 pts · GD +6 · 14 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

Tromsø: 3/16 · 34 pts · GD +14 · 7 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Molde last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L W D L (oldest → newest)

Tromsø last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D D W W W (oldest → newest)

Molde avg goals scored last 10: 1.60

Tromsø avg goals scored last 10: 2.10

Molde avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60

Tromsø avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60

Molde form quality: high (overall sample 10)

Tromsø form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Molde over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%

Tromsø over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%

Molde BTTS rate last 10: 70%

Tromsø BTTS rate last 10: 50%

Molde clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

Tromsø clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Molde home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%

Tromsø away form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%

Molde home over 2.5 rate: 80%

Tromsø away over 2.5 rate: 60%

Molde home BTTS rate: 80%

Tromsø away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)

Avg goals per match: 2.750

Over 2.5 rate: 25%

BTTS rate: 25%

Molde W-D-L vs Tromsø: 4-0-4

MOTIVATION

Molde: defending UECL qualification (score 0.678)

Molde: defending UECL spot (+1 pts cushion)

Tromsø: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)

Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → -0.5 (Δ -0.25, toward Molde)

AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Molde

Line activity: 1 change · 37/24 snapshot hours

Largest single move: -0.25 → -0.5 (toward Molde)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no

Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no

Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes

Play-off fixture: no

Top vs bottom mismatch: no

Both in European spots: yes

Relegation six-pointer: no

Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season

Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)

Form coverage: home full · away full

H2H coverage: full

Standings available: yes

Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.542)