SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Mjällby

20

Full time

Elfsborg

Saturday, October 4, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Mjällby0
Draws3
Elfsborg3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.79

Implied 54.3%

Draw

3.85

Implied 24.4%

Away win

4.39

Implied 21.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.89

Implied 50.9%

Under 2.5

1.96

Implied 49.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMjällby vs Elfsborg
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.93 (implied 0.497760)
Under 2.5: 1.92 (implied 0.502260)
Full-time result:
Mjällby: 1.74 (implied 0.559910)
Draw: 3.85 (implied 0.243724)
Elfsborg: 4.73 (implied 0.196425)

TEAM STRENGTH

Mjällby: 6/16 · 15 pts · GD +3 · 13 pts off leader
Elfsborg: 3/16 · 18 pts · GD +5 · 10 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Mjällby last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W D W (oldest → newest)
Elfsborg last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L D L L (oldest → newest)
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Elfsborg avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 0.50
Elfsborg avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Mjällby form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Elfsborg form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Elfsborg over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Elfsborg BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Elfsborg clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Mjällby home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Elfsborg away form: 1W-0D-4L · 0.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Mjällby home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Elfsborg away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Mjällby home BTTS rate: 60%
Elfsborg away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.429
Over 2.5 rate: 29%
BTTS rate: 57%
Mjällby W-D-L vs Elfsborg: 1-3-3

MOTIVATION

Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.758)
Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)
Elfsborg: defending UECL spot (+1 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available