SmartBettors

Championship

Middlesbrough

21

Full time

Derby County

Saturday, November 29, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Middlesbrough2
Draws1
Derby County1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.98

Implied 49.4%

Draw

3.54

Implied 27.1%

Away win

4.05

Implied 23.6%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMiddlesbrough vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Middlesbrough: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Draw: 3.65 (implied 0.261438)
Derby County: 4.53 (implied 0.209030)

TEAM STRENGTH

Middlesbrough: league table unavailable
Derby County: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Middlesbrough last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L D W D L (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W W W L W (oldest → newest)
Middlesbrough avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Middlesbrough avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Middlesbrough form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Middlesbrough over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Middlesbrough BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Middlesbrough clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Middlesbrough home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Derby County away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Middlesbrough home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Middlesbrough home BTTS rate: 80%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.750
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
Middlesbrough W-D-L vs Derby County: 2-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available