SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Malmö FF

32

Full time

Värnamo

Sunday, September 28, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.20

Implied 82.2%

Draw

7.19

Implied 11.7%

Away win

13.14

Implied 6.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMalmö FF vs Värnamo
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Malmö FF: 1.20 (implied 0.819001)
Draw: 7.08 (implied 0.119417)
Värnamo: 13.01 (implied 0.061679)

TEAM STRENGTH

Malmö FF: 9/16 · 13 pts · GD +0 · 15 pts off leader
Värnamo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Malmö FF last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend W D D D L (oldest → newest)
Värnamo last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend W L L L L (oldest → newest)
Malmö FF avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Värnamo avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Malmö FF avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Värnamo avg goals conceded last 10: 2.40
Malmö FF form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Värnamo form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Malmö FF over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Värnamo over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Malmö FF BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Värnamo BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Malmö FF clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3
Värnamo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Malmö FF home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Värnamo away form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.2 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Malmö FF home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Värnamo away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Malmö FF home BTTS rate: 60%
Värnamo away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.571
Over 2.5 rate: 57%
BTTS rate: 57%
Malmö FF W-D-L vs Värnamo: 3-4-0

MOTIVATION

Malmö FF: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.514)
Malmö FF: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available