Malmö FF vs Sirius | SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Malmö FF

Full time

Sirius

Thursday, April 23, 2026 - …

Team form

Malmö FF

DWDWW

L5 Goals (F/A)

8 / 4

League position

9 / 16

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

2.00 / 2.00

Form quality

56%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Sweden | Allsvenskan

Sirius

WWWWW

L5 Goals (F/A)

14 / 3

League position

1 / 16

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

2.70 / 1.00

Form quality

70%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: Sweden | Allsvenskan

Head to head

Last 6 matches

Malmö FF3

Draws1

Sirius2

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market

Selection

Scanning

Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.46

Implied 39.2%

Draw

3.58

Implied 26.5%

Away win

2.80

Implied 34.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.2%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 47.8%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing

MATCHMalmö FF vs Sirius

LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30

KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …

Over/Under 2.5:

Over 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.526870)

Under 2.5: 2.03 (implied 0.473037)

Full-time result:

Malmö FF: 2.47 (implied 0.390320)

Draw: 3.66 (implied 0.259269)

Sirius: 2.74 (implied 0.350385)

TEAM STRENGTH

Malmö FF: 9/16 · 13 pts · GD +0 · 15 pts off leader

Sirius: 1/16 · 28 pts · GD +17 · leader · zone: ucl qual

RECENT FORM

Malmö FF last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W D W W (oldest → newest)

Sirius last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)

Malmö FF avg goals scored last 10: 1.50

Sirius avg goals scored last 10: 2.70

Malmö FF avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50

Sirius avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60

Malmö FF form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

Sirius form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Malmö FF over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%

Sirius over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%

Malmö FF BTTS rate last 10: 70%

Sirius BTTS rate last 10: 70%

Malmö FF clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

Sirius clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Malmö FF home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%

Sirius away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.8 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%

Malmö FF home over 2.5 rate: 80%

Sirius away over 2.5 rate: 80%

Malmö FF home BTTS rate: 80%

Sirius away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)

Avg goals per match: 3.750

Over 2.5 rate: 75%

BTTS rate: 75%

Malmö FF W-D-L vs Sirius: 4-1-3

MOTIVATION

Malmö FF: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.514)

Malmö FF: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Sirius)

AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Sirius

Line activity: 1 change · 24/24 snapshot hours

Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Sirius)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no

Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no

Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes

Play-off fixture: no

Top vs bottom mismatch: no

Both in European spots: no

Relegation six-pointer: no

Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season

Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)

Form coverage: home full · away full

H2H coverage: full

Standings available: yes

Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)