SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Malmö FF

21

Full time

Elfsborg

Monday, April 7, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.71

Implied 57.2%

Draw

3.92

Implied 24.2%

Away win

5.06

Implied 18.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.92

Implied 50.7%

Under 2.5

1.97

Implied 49.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMalmö FF vs Elfsborg
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.93 (implied 0.505051)
Under 2.5: 1.96 (implied 0.495295)
Full-time result:
Malmö FF: 1.70 (implied 0.575043)
Draw: 3.96 (implied 0.239751)
Elfsborg: 5.08 (implied 0.185117)

TEAM STRENGTH

Malmö FF: 9/16 · 13 pts · GD +0 · 15 pts off leader
Elfsborg: 3/16 · 18 pts · GD +5 · 10 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Malmö FF last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W D W W (oldest → newest)
Elfsborg last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L L W D D (oldest → newest)
Malmö FF avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Elfsborg avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Malmö FF avg goals conceded last 10: 0.50
Elfsborg avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Malmö FF form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Elfsborg form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Malmö FF over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Elfsborg over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Malmö FF BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Elfsborg BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Malmö FF clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 2
Elfsborg clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Malmö FF home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Elfsborg away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Malmö FF home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Elfsborg away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Malmö FF home BTTS rate: 60%
Elfsborg away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
Malmö FF W-D-L vs Elfsborg: 2-1-3

MOTIVATION

Elfsborg: defending UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Malmö FF: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)
Elfsborg: defending UECL spot (+1 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available