SmartBettors

Super League

Luzern

13

Full time

Thun

Saturday, July 25, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Luzern0
Draws0
Thun3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.83

Implied 54.64%

Draw

4.29

Implied 23.31%

Away win

3.84

Implied 26.04%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.51

Implied 66.23%

Under 2.5

2.63

Implied 38.02%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHLuzern vs Thun
LEAGUESwitzerland · Super League · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/22
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.47 (implied 68.03%)
Under 2.5: 2.73 (implied 36.63%)
Full-time result:
Luzern: 1.82 (implied 54.95%)
Draw: 4.26 (implied 23.47%)
Thun: 3.89 (implied 25.71%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Luzern: 12/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · 3 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Thun: 1/12 · 3 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: champion

RECENT FORM

Luzern last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W D W W (oldest → newest)
Thun last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L L L D (oldest → newest)
Luzern avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Thun avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Luzern avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Thun avg goals conceded last 10: 2.10
Luzern form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Thun form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Luzern over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Thun over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Luzern BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Thun BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Luzern clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1
Thun clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Luzern home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Thun away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Luzern home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Thun away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Luzern home BTTS rate: 60%
Thun away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.667
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Luzern W-D-L vs Thun: 0-0-3

MOTIVATION

Thun: defending UCL qualification (score 0.533)
Luzern: currently in the relegation zone
Thun: relegation danger (close to drop)
Thun: defending UCL spot (+3 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → -0.75 (Δ -0.5, toward Luzern)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_home — late sharp money toward Luzern
Line activity: 2 changes · 38/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → -0.5 (toward Luzern)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.583)