SmartBettors

Super League

Lugano

40

Full time

Basel

Sunday, May 17, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Lugano2
Draws2
Basel2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.53

Implied 63.7%

Draw

4.58

Implied 19.8%

Away win

5.45

Implied 16.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.34

Implied 74.63%

Under 2.5

3.23

Implied 30.96%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHLugano vs Basel
LEAGUESwitzerland · Super League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.36 (implied 73.53%)
Under 2.5: 3.10 (implied 32.26%)
Full-time result:
Lugano: 1.55 (implied 0.628141)
Draw: 4.71 (implied 0.192641)
Basel: 5.04 (implied 0.179276)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lugano: league table unavailable
Basel: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Lugano last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W L D (oldest → newest)
Basel last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend L L W L L (oldest → newest)
Lugano avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Basel avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Lugano avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Basel avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Lugano form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Basel form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lugano over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Basel over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Lugano BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Basel BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lugano clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Basel clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Lugano home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Basel away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Lugano home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Basel away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Lugano home BTTS rate: 60%
Basel away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.125
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 63%
Lugano W-D-L vs Basel: 4-2-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -1 (Δ -0.5, toward Lugano)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_home — late sharp money toward Lugano
Line activity: 4 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.75 (toward Lugano)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)